Key Takeaways
- Daily return correlations between XRP and silver were small and positive in this sample, around 0.07 to 0.13 depending on the window and proxy.
- Rolling 30-day correlations moved across a wide band, including negative stretches, which weakens any hedging narrative.
- Silver spot price today is a benchmark quote, not a retail checkout price, and it reacts to rates, the dollar, and industrial demand.
- XRP price USD often reacts to crypto-wide risk appetite and XRP-specific events, so shared macro shocks can create short-lived correlation spikes.
- Treat correlation as context for risk management, not a reason to assume silver prices and XRP prices will move together tomorrow.
If you follow the silver price and the XRP price, the obvious question is whether they move together. Using Stooq daily closes, I measured XRP price USD against the silver spot price today (XAGUSD) and the SLV silver ETF using daily log returns across 90 trading days, 1 year, and 5 years, plus rolling correlations. The link is weak on average and it changes by market regime.
That matters because correlation gets used as a shortcut for diversification and hedging. A weak correlation can jump during stress, and a higher correlation can fade when the market story changes.
This article does not try to forecast the XRP price or the silver spot price today. It tests whether daily moves lined up in the past, then shows where that relationship tightened and where it broke.
If you are building XRP exposure over time, a repeatable contribution schedule often beats trying to time correlation regimes between silver prices and crypto prices. We break down the practical setup, including common mistakes we see in real portfolios, in Here.
Why compare the silver price and XRP price?
Silver trades like a hybrid: part monetary metal, part industrial commodity. XRP trades 24/7 as a liquid cryptoasset, and searches for “ripple currency price” often point to XRP rather than the company. The two markets can briefly rhyme during broad risk-on or risk-off stretches, then decouple when asset-specific drivers take over.
People usually come to this question from one of two angles:
- Diversification: if silver prices and XRP prices are not tightly linked, combining them can reduce single-asset risk.
- Narrative: silver is often framed as defensive while crypto is framed as risk. Real markets mix those buckets.
The point of a correlation study is to replace the narrative with a number, then check that number across time windows.
These charts show five years of monthly closes for XRP price USD and the silver spot price today (XAGUSD), sampled from Stooq daily closes. The correlation results below are computed on daily log returns, not on these price levels.
Method and data sources: silver spot price today (XAGUSD), SLV, and XRP price USD
Here is the workflow, in the same order you can reproduce it.
- Pick the price series and proxies. For XRP price USD, I used Stooq
XRP.V(an XRP/USD daily close). For the silver spot price today, I used StooqXAGUSD. For a U.S. market-hours proxy that many brokerage accounts can trade, I also usedSLV.US(iShares Silver Trust). - Download daily closes and keep overlapping dates. This matters because XRP trades 24/7 while SLV trades U.S. equity hours. When SLV is in the pair, weekends and U.S. market holidays drop out, so XRP is filtered to those same dates before returns are computed.
- Convert closes into daily log returns:
r_t = ln(P_t / P_{t-1}). Returns answer the day-to-day move without being skewed by long price drift. - Measure correlation on returns. I used Pearson correlation for three lookbacks, using the last about 90, about 252, and about 1260 overlapping observations, which line up with roughly a quarter, a year, and five years of trading days.
- Check regime shifts with rolling correlation. I recalculated correlation on a moving 30-day and 90-day window to show when the relationship tightened and when it loosened.
Sanity checks:
- Keep everything in USD and pull all series from the same provider so the close definition stays consistent.
- Confirm the observation count, especially on rolling windows. A 30-day window is only 30 data points.
Correlation is not causation.
Spot silver (XAGUSD) vs XRP price USD: correlation results
Here are the Pearson correlations of daily log returns between XRP and spot silver (XAGUSD), using overlapping observations:
| Window | Correlation | Date range |
|---|---|---|
| Last ~90 trading days | +0.067 | 2025-08-25 to 2025-12-29 |
| Last ~1y (~252) | +0.092 | 2025-01-08 to 2025-12-29 |
| Last ~5y (~1260) | +0.132 | 2021-02-10 to 2025-12-29 |
| Full overlap | +0.070 | 2015-01-22 to 2025-12-29 |
Across the windows tested, the correlations stayed in a narrow band around 0.07 to 0.13. In correlation terms, that is low. Squared, a 0.10 correlation implies about 1% shared day-to-day variance.
How to read the windows:
- 90 trading days reflects the most recent regime.
- 1 year mixes multiple phases.
- 5 years blends multiple crypto cycles and macro backdrops.
Takeaway: correlations are small and positive in this sample. That is weak enough that it should not be used as a standalone signal.
What these numbers do not mean:
- They do not imply XRP tracks the silver spot price day to day.
- They do not mean silver hedges XRP in a drawdown.
- They do not tell you anything about intraday moves, where time alignment matters more.
Rolling correlation recalculates the same statistic over a moving 30-day or 90-day window.
For XRP vs spot silver (XAGUSD):
| Window | Latest | As of | Typical range (10th to 90th percentile) | Min | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30-day | +0.106 | 2025-12-29 | -0.133 to +0.361 | -0.468 | +0.597 |
| 90-day | +0.067 | 2025-12-29 | -0.049 to +0.243 | -0.156 | +0.433 |
The ranges are the point. The 30-day correlation spent time below zero and also climbed above 0.3, depending on the month. That swing is why a single average correlation can feel true in one quarter and wrong in the next.
Rolling correlation is the story. In this dataset it moved from negative to meaningfully positive, so the relationship did not stay stable.
Spikes tend to show up when a shared driver dominates, like a fast dollar move or a broad risk repricing. When the market focus shifts back to silver-only or XRP-only catalysts, the link fades.
SLV silver ETF vs XRP price USD: correlation results
Now the same calculation, using SLV instead of spot silver:
| Window | Correlation | Date range |
|---|---|---|
| Last ~90 trading days | +0.094 | 2025-08-21 to 2025-12-29 |
| Last ~1y (~252) | +0.099 | 2024-12-26 to 2025-12-29 |
| Last ~5y (~1260) | +0.114 | 2020-12-21 to 2025-12-29 |
| Full overlap | +0.074 | 2015-01-22 to 2025-12-29 |
SLV tells a similar story. The key difference is the clock: SLV has a U.S. equity close, while XRP trades overnight and on weekends. For fund mechanics and holdings, see the iShares Silver Trust (SLV) product page.
SLV is designed to track bullion over time, but day to day it also reflects U.S. market hours and ETF plumbing. Overnight silver moves can show up as gaps at the U.S. open, which changes the shape of daily returns compared with a global close-to-close spot series.
Rolling correlations show the same instability for SLV.
For XRP vs SLV:
| Window | Latest | As of | Typical range (10th to 90th percentile) | Min | Max |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30-day | +0.158 | 2025-12-29 | -0.125 to +0.359 | -0.490 | +0.593 |
| 90-day | +0.094 | 2025-12-29 | -0.044 to +0.251 | -0.154 | +0.443 |
The rolling ranges also swung across negative and positive territory, which is why this is not a reliable hedge relationship.
If you see a gap between the XAGUSD and SLV results, close-time mismatch is a leading suspect.
Silver spot price vs cost of silver today: what the numbers mean and what moves silver prices today
“Silver spot price” is a wholesale benchmark. It is not the checkout price for a coin or small bar.
Most quote screens show spot per troy ounce in USD. Dealer sites can quote a different number because they bundle premiums and fees into the retail price.
- Silver spot price today: reference price used across markets. One benchmark is the LBMA Silver Price.
- Cost of silver today: retail price after dealer premiums, fabrication, shipping, and taxes.
- Silver prices today can differ across spot, futures, and ETFs like SLV because of market hours and fees.
Quick check when you read a silver price chart:
- Is it spot (XAGUSD), futures, or an ETF (SLV)?
- What time and timezone is the close?
- Is the quote per ounce and in USD?
What tends to move the silver price:
- Real yields. Higher inflation-adjusted yields can pressure non-yielding metals. A common proxy is the 10-Year Treasury Inflation-Indexed Security.
- U.S. dollar moves. Silver is quoted in dollars, so dollar swings can coincide with silver moves. One index is DTWEXBGS.
- Industrial demand narratives. The World Silver Survey tracks demand and supply themes year to year.
XRP price USD and ripple currency price: what you are pricing and what moves XRP
XRP price USD is the exchange rate for XRP against dollars on crypto venues. Searches for “ripple currency price” often refer to that same XRP/USD quote.
Two quick distinctions:
- XRP is the asset on the XRP Ledger. XRPL.org explains the network at XRPL.org.
- Ripple is a company building around payments and publishing periodic commentary, including its XRP Markets Report.
What tends to move XRP day to day:
- Crypto risk appetite. In many periods, XRP moves with broader crypto cycles.
- Regulation and court headlines. Primary sources live on sec.gov.
- 24/7 trading. XRP can reprice during weekends and U.S. off-hours, which matters when you compare it with SLV and other market-hours assets.
One practical issue: “XRP/USD” is not a single venue. Different exchanges and index providers publish slightly different prints. Using one consistent data source for both XRP and silver reduces mismatches, but you should expect small differences if you rerun the study with another feed.
When silver and XRP can correlate and what that means for portfolios
Silver and XRP tend to correlate only when both are reacting to the same macro shock, not because one tracks the other.
Low correlation is not a promise that drawdowns will not overlap. In many risk-off episodes, correlations across assets can rise as traders cut risk and raise cash.
If you are thinking in hedges, correlation is not enough. A hedge needs a hedge ratio, which depends on relative volatility. Correlation tells you direction and consistency, not sizing.
Shared drivers that can create short bursts of correlation:
- Fast U.S. dollar moves
- Rapid repricing in real yields
- Broad risk-off deleveraging across assets
You can see the logic on a simple set of days. If silver is flat while XRP falls on a crypto-only headline, the correlation for that window drifts toward zero. If both fall on a dollar rally or a liquidity shock, the correlation rises. The same long-run average can hide very different month-to-month behavior.
What this means in practice:
- Do not assume silver is a hedge for XRP. Rolling correlation can flip.
- Treat correlation as context for risk management. Low correlation can widen during stress.
- If you watch it, focus on rolling windows as a temperature check, not a trigger.
How to replicate the silver price vs XRP price correlation study
You can reproduce the numbers in a spreadsheet:
- Download daily closes for
XRP.Vand a silver proxy (XAGUSDorSLV.US) from a provider like Stooq. - Keep overlapping dates and compute log returns
ln(P_t/P_{t-1}). - Run
CORRELon the last 90, 252, and 1260 overlapping return rows. - For rolling correlations, run the same
CORRELon a moving 30-row and 90-row window and chart the output.
Spreadsheet example formulas:
- Log return:
=LN(B3/B2) - Correlation:
=CORREL(xrp_returns, silver_returns)
If your silver series has no weekends (SLV), filter your XRP series to the same dates before computing returns. That one step prevents a lot of misleading output.
Bottom line: the silver price and XRP price did not show a stable correlation on daily returns. The average link stayed small, and rolling windows flipped sign.
Primary sources and further reading
| Source | Title |
|---|---|
| | Stooq historical data (XAGUSD, SLV.US, XRP.V) |
| | LBMA precious metal prices (Silver) |
| | iShares Silver Trust (SLV) product page |
| | XRPL.org: XRP overview |
| | CME Group: Silver markets |
Related Assets
Frequently Asked Questions
Does XRP track the silver price?
Over the windows tested here, daily return correlations between XRP/USD and silver were small and unstable. The two can move in the same direction during some market regimes, then decouple.
Is silver a hedge against crypto?
A hedge needs a relationship that holds up across time. Rolling correlations between silver and XRP moved from negative to positive, so silver did not behave like a reliable hedge for XRP based on this return data.
Why does correlation change over time?
Correlation shifts when the main driver changes. During broad risk-off moves, many assets fall together. During asset-specific news cycles, prices can diverge even if the macro backdrop stays similar.
Which silver proxy is better for correlation work, XAGUSD or SLV?
Spot silver (XAGUSD) trades across global markets, while SLV prints returns only during U.S. equity hours. For daily return studies, check both and be explicit about the close time and holidays.